Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable ?
Why climate sensitivity may not be so unpredictable? Different explanations have been proposed as to why the range of climate 7 sensitivity predicted by GCMs have not lessened substantially in the last decades, 8 and subsequently if it can be reduced. One such study (Why is climate sen-9 sitivity so unpredictable?, Roe and Baker, 2007 [@]) adressed these questions 10 using rather simple theoret...
متن کاملWhy is climate sensitivity so unpredictable?
Uncertainties in projections of future climate change have not lessened substantially in past decades. Both models and observations yield broad probability distributions for long-term increases in global mean temperature expected from the doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, with small but finite probabilities of very large increases. We show that the shape of these probability distributions...
متن کاملGerard H . Roe , Why Is Climate Sensitivity So Unpredictable ?
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/318/5850/629 version of this article at: including high-resolution figures, can be found in the online Updated information and services, http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/318/5850/629/DC1 can be found at: Supporting Online Material found at: can be related to this article A list of selected additional articles on the Science Web sites http://w...
متن کاملWhy is estimating climate sensitivity so problematical
Introduction Climate sensitivity estimates exhibit little consistency. As shown in the Introduction, Figure 1 of Box 12.2 of AR5 i (reproduced here as Figure 1) reveals that 5–95% uncertainty ranges estimated for equilibrium climate
متن کاملWhy Reasons May Not Be Causes
This paper considers Davidson’s (1963) arguments for construing reasons as causes and attempts to show that he has failed to provide positive reasons for introducing causation into his analysis of rationalizing explanation. I consider various ways of spelling out his intuition that something is missing from explanation if we consider only the justificatory relation between reasons and action, a...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters
سال: 2009
ISSN: 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2009gl039640